Another Great Depression?

In the year 1929, the world Suffered a very serious Financial Meltdown and it tooks them quite a few years before the US Economy Recovered in the early 1930s. Another World Financial Meltdown? If my thoughts are right, we will take at least 3 to 4 years to recover from this Crisis. Asia 1997 Financial Crisis took us a few years to recover, but it changed alot of people's lifes. This 2008 Financial Crisis will change even more. Are you ready for a ride?

The KLSE Plunge almost 100 pts during the last 20 days, where as future is as low as 921, the lowest since June 2006. The Spot Month KLCI Futures Chart shows today's Charts. We sink below the 1000 KLCI Points already.





Crude Palm Oil Drop from the Historical High of RM4400 per tan down to RM1800 now. Sime Darby, the world's biggest CPO Company's Share has drop from RM13.20 till RM6.00. Drop almost 50%. 1 year ago every one was so happya bout investing in Palm Oil, now I am not so sure, they would be anymore. We have gone back to the Lowest Point of the past two years.


The US Dow Jones has sink below the 10,000 points, it has suffered the biggest drop since 911 happened. Dropping almost 1000 points over the last few days.

Loosing almost 5% everyday. Is this the most feared Financial Recession for this Decade?
10 year ago, we suffered the 1997/98 Asian Financial Crisis and it took us quite a few years to recover. And that was only Asia having the Financial Crisis. But this time it is the world greatest Economy, the United States of America facing Financial Problems.

Never have I seen a Financial Crisis that Bankurpted a few Top Investment Banks in the World.
Merlyn Lynch, Lehman Brothers and AIG ( Yes, the world's biggest US Insurance Group) is having so much Financial Problems and are begging for Bail Outs from the Government. Lehman Brothers is Official Bankurpt and History. AIG is waiting for Government Bailout,

Ready For a Ride? Its gonna be even more Crazy in weeks and months to come. Dramatic!

Market Outlook - The Gathering Storm

During the past year, we have enjoyed the heights of the KLSE and the US Market Economy, the Peak of the Oil Price and now all major world market are cut by at least 30% to 50% from the Historical Height.

China's Olympic 2008 is finally over and all talk about China Market is superb and great investment is now unheard. Last year Oct 2007, the Shanghai Index was 6,123 Highest. Now its drop more than 66% to 1,803 points. Imagine their Investment was wipe out with over 66% Market Capital gone.

The Financial Analyst is very negative about the Doom and Gloom of the US Market and the World Economy especially with the US Bail Out of 700 Billion US Dollars. The biggest Financial Bailout since the 1929 US Great Depression. One which none of us had experienced in our life time.

10 Years ago, it was the Asian Financial Crisis and hence comes a recession which none of us experience before, but that only happen for Asian Country, US was not in Crisis yet. The worst is yet to come. Properchy of a US Economy Melt Down seems closer and more realitic then ever.

However, the biggest question you are going to ask yourself is?

What's in it for me? What can I do to earn Money? What can I do to stay out of this huge Recession that might be happening in months to come?

The Malaysian Stock Market is so unstable because we are not only facing world Economy Crisis, but also a Polictal Effect due to the 8th March Election Results Fallout. GLC Counters has fallen down to historical high. Foreign Fund has pull out massively. Our KLCI has from from historical high of 1523 down to the Current 1018 now.

KLCI is hovering around 1020 to 930. But Stock Counters are moving like snails and market sentiment is extremely low for the past 6 months.

But the Derivatives markets has been very exciting.

Crude Palm Oil Price has Drop from 4400 to 1700 Level now.. that's like almost 2000 points down. KLCI Futures has drop till 930 from 1532 now.

In KLSE Futures 1 point is Rm50, 500 points would mean RM25,000 with just Rm5000 capital. If we entered and short at the right position using Charting Softwares like Winquote, NextView or OSK 188 OMS. Then you would enjoyed this exciting ride. :)

Futures Contract now is about RM4000 to RM4800 per contract to trade.

And imagine earning Rm25 per point for 2500 points of Crude Palm Oil. 2500 x 25 = Rm62,500 for 2000 points of CPO..... RM25,000 for every Rm12,500 Contract Traded

That was how Volatile the Market was for the past 1 year. Having Fun?

My Chart Shows how fast is Crude Palm Oil falling down now for the past few weeks. Imagine falling from 4485 to 1700 points in less than 6 months. Thats like 4485-1700 = 2785 points gone. With Rm25 profit per point for every 1 CPO Contract Traded. Thats a Profit 2785 point xRM25 = RM69,625 for every contract Shorted.

KLCI Futures was 1523 Highest, Currently Hovering around 930 points. Thats is 1523-930 = 593 points gone. 593 Points x RM50 = RM29,650.

With just Rm20,000 Trading Capital for KLCI Futures & CPO Contract. We had the Potential to earn almost RM100,000 during this financial Crisis period.

For those of you that is only interested in Trading Stocks, dont' feel despair. Imagine during the coming Recession, you can find another good stock like Public Bank.

Which Goes from RM0.50 to RM12.00 within 10 years. I think this is one of the best Blue Chips Stocks you will ever find on the KLSE. Malaysia's most well managed Private Bank.

A Visit to Securities Commission KL at Bukit Kiara

Have you ever been to the Malaysian Securities Commission at Bukit Kiara? I though it would be a Normal Government Building which is located in a highly Populated area. And man was I proven wrong.

Securities Commission KL is located at Bukit Kiara, which is nicely (and very far) located near Persiaran Bukit Kiara. And to my amazement, I though the place would be another normal Government Office..

Well, early in the morning at 6a.m., I had to woke up in my nice Rm165 per night Cititel MidValley Hotel Room (yes, its juts RM165, you can book online at http://www.cititelmidvalley.com/ to get it at Cheaper Rate).



Surprisingly, the View of KL Never changes, its still always traffic Jam, hot, humid and dry and I feel so hectic just to wake up at 6a.m. in the morning to get a Taxi to SC at 7a.m. just to avoid the Morning Heavy Jam. If you ask me, do I wanna work in KL? My Answer is definitely No! Unless I can wake up at 10a.m. and sleep at 11p.m. else forget it.



It was Hari Raya season but to be frank I dont' really feel much of the Hari Raya Mood at MidValley there except a very beautiful Landscape in the Middle of the Center Court of MidValley for Decoration Purposes. I manage to grab a photo there and then just go grab my dinner which I was starving to have.



Ok Anyway, I woke up at 6a.m. to grab a Taxi at 7:45a.m. Taxi fare was about Rm10, took about 15 mins to get to SC around 8a.m. when I arrive at Securities Commision KL at Bukit Kiara. And to my amazement, this was my expression when I first walked into the Lobby........



This is how the Lobby Looks like.........



Another part of the Lobby.



As I walk pass the Lobby and near the Lift Corridor, this was what I saw, and my god it was astonishing........



This is the Lift Corridor... My god..... Remind me of Kuching Sarawak Timber Association Building, only its more beautiful.



I went to grab lunch at the Ground Floor Cafeteria after my 1st Exam. To my Amazement, it even looks more beautiful and more stylish than our Kuching Spring Food Court. And this is just a Federal Government Building...... I don't think we got any LCD in any of our Kuching Cafeteria's here.



Anybody Home?



Watching LCD TV as I am having Lunch. Reminds me of Home. Too Bad its not a Sony 40" TV.



I was worried the staff serving me was be a bit moody seeing I was one of the only few customers at that time. But they were quite friendly and have quite a variety of food (Including Roasted Chicken). Normally I am very sensitive to some of the KL Oily Foods, but this meal was ok for my stomach to consume.



There were no glommy face that I can see and every one was quite friendly. Tension from the Exams perhaps turned my appetite off. I was worried I wont' be able to have any lunch as it was Puasa for most of the Government Staff. As you can see from the photos, the Cafeteria was quite empty and not much ppl due to the Ramadan Fasting Month.

Very Important Note: Its best that you fix a time with the Taxi to pick you up if you are going to take the afternoon Session Exams, by the time I finish at 4:30p.m. Plus remember to do Online check in if you are taking the 7:40p.m. AirAsia Flight back to Kuching.

It was so difficult for me to get a Taxi at 5p.m. because Bukit Kiara & Mt. Kiara is high class residential area which hardly got many taxis. I had to make phone calls to 5 different Taxi Cab Companies and add extra RM5 just to get a Taxi to take me back to MidValley, and it was heavy Traffic Jam after 5p.m...

The Next Day I almost miss my last Kuching Flight back home because of the Heavy Traffic Jam at KL. My Flight was 7:40p.m. and I was still stuck at KL City at 6:30p.m. My sincere thanks to the Taxi Driver whom I paid RM100, he took the new highway and speed as fast as 165km in his Iswara Taxi (and I though I was in the New Proton BMW Model) which flew pass almost any car on the highway.



It was 7:30p.m. when I reach LCCT KLIA. To my amazement, I don't think I have ever ran faster than I have that night to rush into to board my flight. I was the Last Passenger to board the plane and every one was wondering how much Calories I have lost running from the Departure Hall... haha

Luckily I ask my KL friend to do online check in for me. Else there is no way I could have board the plane and I would have to spend the night at LCCT and take the next morning flight home with extra cost again. Many thanks to Addy Kho for helping me out!

Brandon Chew Blog Created on My Birthday 29th Sept 2008

Hi Guys, this is my 1st Post on the Blog. Today is also my Birthday which I didn't Celebrate as my friends were mostly busy with their own programs, plus I think I am getting too old to celebrate also.. hahahha.

I wrote this Blog to share my experiences in the Investments world and to share with others what my Investments has created Opportunities for me.

Anyway, life has been fun for me this year. I travelled almost 14 times this year and have seen great things accross Malaysia. Especially Sabah. Land Below the Wind. I have been to KK 3 Times this year. Twice to Visit a very fantastic Rubber Investment Project by Bornion Timber Sdn Bhd. My sincere Thanks to Mr. Wee Kok Tiong from Kuching for allowing me to visit this great project at Kenninggau, Sabah. I have also took a visit to the Securities Commission in KL Bukit Kiara, and its an Amazing Place to my astonishment.

This Blog is to share with others about my Stock, Futures Trading and Travel Holiday experiences. Its both Investment & Travel Blog. Hope you guys will enjoy reading it.